In Anticipation of the “Moment X”: A Trader’s Forecast for Bitcoin and Ethereum

Bitcoin continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience. Despite macroeconomic challenges and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, it is gradually moving towards a resistance zone. Our Scenario “B” is nearly completed, leaving key targets at the 4H FVG and the psychological mark of $80,000.

Bitcoin Analysis

The upward movement appears strained, lacking organic momentum. The pivotal zone is at $75,000, where liquidity clusters are forming. We are approaching the “moment X”: we might see either a hard reversal test or a manipulative spike with new highs followed by deep corrections.
Scenario A — Impulsive Growth Continuation
After a slight pullback (or even without one), prices may head towards the problem zone to test the round figure of $80k. For a healthy trend, aggressive buying is crucial here as current slow ascent seems more artificial than organic. Keep an eye on volumes.
Scenario B — Fake Move and Downward Squeeze
This scenario mirrors the previous one but ends with manipulation in the $75k-$77k block leading to an inversion and sharp drop to $70k for late-long stop collection. Upcoming macro or political news could serve as ideal covers for such actions.
Long investors enter the market without confirmations or pullbacks leaving significant liquidity cascades below local lows. Price rounding occurs that market makers might exploit with a sharp 4H squeeze downwards. Be prepared; I’m reconsidering short limit setups.

Market Sentiment and Strategy

This week’s volatility epicenter is Wednesday. The market largely anticipates maintaining Fed rates—already priced in—but surprises are possible. In light of poor GDP data and weak labor markets, rate hikes seem unlikely; however, reducing rates could be smart despite potential market corrections.
Focus on divergence: while stock markets experienced outflows last week, ETFs continued Bitcoin purchases undeterred by Michael Saylor’s report expectations today. Prepare for abundant movements and “helicopters.” Manage risks wisely while maintaining clarity.

Ethereum: Unexpected Strength Amidst FUD Ignoring

The week began with a “wow-effect.” Currently healthier than Bitcoin; Ethereum has surpassed last week’s highs with promising upward momentum against Bitcoin charts. Notably neither founders’ sales nor Ethereum Foundation transfers have pressured prices—proving all this FUD mere informational noise.

Scenario A — Pullback & Recovery

A minor 4H FVG remains below; covering it may provide necessary fuel for confident movement towards $2500.

Scenario B — Fake Spike & Correction

It’s possible Monday’s robust opening was merely trapping high levels—a standard downward retracement might follow if so—but conclusions await America session openings…

Scenario C — Broad Sideways Movement

Strong support above $2100-$2200 opens pathways toward extended trading within wide corridors up till reaching potentially reaching up till around$2500 level ensuring classic liquidity flushes occur sideways across both directions…
The breakout looks extremely intriguing (shame not capitalizing during correction). Critical now: avoid fake capital rotations before any global sell-off predictions unfold… Let’s focus solely upon this current week ahead!

DXY Weekly Plan: Resolution at Round 100 amid Fed Horizon Concerns…

Starting retrospectively: Last week witnessed classic risk-off amidst weak macro data prompting capital hedge asset parking thereby unsurprisingly strengthening dollar index (DXY) breaching previous month highs shooting directly into upper 4H FVG zone…
Currently trading near approximately100 point index breached psychological barrier aggressively testing liquidity ceiling! While overheated still maintains structural integrity await outcome determining whether further high-risk asset outflows including cryptocurrencies occur—or dollar undergoes deserved correction instead…
Key Levels:
– Resistance Zone Upper 4H FVG (100000-100800)&local high100540 final bear defense line;
– Support Mirror Level99492(pMH)below key support lower4HFVG area98492 foundational pillar…

A – Liquidity Removal & Rejection (Sweep&amplReject)

Classical trap formation news-driven index surges upwards surpassing high100540(liquidity sweep) triggering aggressive seller reaction prompting subsequent structural break reverting beneath100000 followed by deep retracement lower towards target98FVG(98492).
For crypto-assets green light purchaser opportunities arise if dollar follows similar pattern descending downward supplying powerful fuel V-shape reversals breaking local downtrends potentially occurring!

B – Breakout & Bullish Rally Continuations (Bullish Continuation)

Minor localized trade flag within current upper four-hourly volume gauge aggressive breakthrough zone10540 large-scale volumes enabling dollar secure higher ground disregarding overheating embarking upon conquering new peaks instead…
Cryptocurrency implications: Maximum painful scenario harsh risk-off environments capital continues fleeing en masse into dollars crypto markets bleed profusely updating minimums empty order books alike impacting significantly overall performances negatively thus requiring utmost caution&defensive strategies undertaken accordingly given circumstance prevailing situations arising…
Prepare yourselves volatility triggers economic calendar upcoming defining near-term trends:
Wednesday’s focal volatility shifted center:
-10 March14:30Producer Price Index(PPI)m/m(Feb);
16Mar crude oil inventories.
20MAR Federal Reserve interest rate decision/economic forecasts/FOMC statements/press conference main day month helicopters guaranteed!
Thursday19March14:30Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index(March).
Initial jobless claims observed post-Fed labor reaction…
16Mar New Home Sales(Jan).
Saturday21March16MAR Federal Reserve Chair Powell speaking cautious position carrying over weekends…